30 Jul '14, 1pm

Google Searches About Politics Predict the Stock Market

Google Searches About Politics Predict the Stock Market

The number of Google searches related to business and politics can help predict falls in the stock market, researchers at the University of Warwick, in England, say. Scientists have recently begun investigating what people look for on Google and Wikipedia to help forecast the future. For instance, prior research has shown the rate at which people look up information about the flu helps predict the spread of the disease In recent work, "we found evidence that data on Google searches for financially related words and views of financially related pages on Wikipedia could have provided early warning signs of stock market moves ," says Suzy Moat, a data scientist at the University of Warwick. "However, the financial markets constitute a large, complex system, which influences and is influenced by many different aspects of modern society. We therefore wondered if searches for ot...

Full article: http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/computing/software/goo...

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