28 Jul '12, 11pm

Wright's Law Edges Out Moore's Law in Predicting Technology Development

The next time you’re at cocktail party and someone says “Computing power doubles every 18 months,” jump in with this before they can qualify the statement: “Actually, the 1965 Moore’s Law seems to be a special case of Wright’s Law, spelled out by Theodore P. Wright in a 1936 paper, ‘Factors affecting the costs of airplanes.’ In fact, Wright’s Law seems to describe technological evolution a bit better than Moore’s—not just in electronics, but in dozens of industries.” Your interlocutors will gaze at you with admiration and wonder. Or, more probably, edge away and leave you in peace. A new Santa Fe Institute (SFI) working paper (Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress , by Bela Nagy, J. Doyne Farmer, Quan M. Bui, and Jessika E. Trancik) compares the performance of six technology-forecasting models with constant-dollar historical cost data for 62 different tec...

Full article: http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/at-work/test-and-measu...

Tweets

Wright's Law Edges Out Moore's Law in Predictin...

spectrum.ieee.org 31 Jul '12, 1pm

The next time you’re at cocktail party and someone says “Computing power doubles every 18 months,” jump in with this befor...

Wright's Law Edges Out Moore's Law in Predictin...

spectrum.ieee.org 25 Jul '12, 7pm

The next time you’re at cocktail party and someone says “Computing power doubles every 18 months,” jump in with this befor...

LEADERSHIP: The Law Of The Jungle

strategypage.com 29 Jul '12, 12pm

July 29, 2012: On July 24th China made it official and declared one of the Paracel islands (Woody Island) to be the center...

NUS law professor Tey Tsun Hang was charged with six counts of corruptly obtaining gratification from a former student

NUS law professor Tey Tsun Hang was charged wit...

straitstimes.com 27 Jul '12, 6am

National University of Singapore (NUS) law professor Tey Tsun Hang (in white) was on Friday, charged with six counts of co...

Decision in BIA v. Washington does not clarify ...

greenbuildinglawblog.com 29 Jul '12, 3am

Albuquerque’s ordinance imposed costs, as a matter of law, on builders who installed certain covered products meeting fede...

Given suicide epidemic, #military at odds with ...

stripes.com 28 Jul '12, 3pm

To help combat suicide in the military, leaders would like greater leeway in talking to a servicemember about it and wheth...

Silicon Valley's tech giants are embracing sust...

greensource.construction.com 29 Jul '12, 12pm

Companies like Google, Apple, and Facebook are known for technological innovation, but their offices' architecture has unt...

Honored by LPGA/Rolex with Global Writing award. The subject was reason I won. The courage of Lindsey Wright.

Honored by LPGA/Rolex with Global Writing award...

usatoday.com 28 Jul '12, 2am

"It just kind of happened quickly," Wright, 32, said. "Without getting into the psychology, it wasn't a great time, and I ...

Intel to promote new panel technology at ultrab...

digitimes.com 27 Jul '12, 3pm

Intel to promote new panel technology at ultrabook ecosystem meeting in Taiwan Monica Chen, Taipei; Joseph Tsai, DIGITIMES...

'My reputation has been tarnished': NUS law prof Tey Tsun Hang

'My reputation has been tarnished': NUS law pro...

straitstimes.com 27 Jul '12, 4am

National University of Singapore (NUS) law professor Tey Tsun Hang, 41, who has been charged with corruption on Friday, ga...

Intel to promote new panel technology at ultrab...

digitimes.com 27 Jul '12, 8am

Intel to promote new panel technology at ultrabook ecosystem meeting in Taiwan Monica Chen, Taipei; Joseph Tsai, DIGITIMES...